Sunday Morning Thought Line

Kevin Rose on why now is the time to start a tech company:

Why to start a new startup in a bad economywww.kevinrose.com

The piece which inspired his post:

The economic situation is apparently so grim that some experts fear we may be in for a stretch as bad as the mid seventies.

When Microsoft and Apple were founded.

As those examples suggest, a recession may not be such a bad time to start a startup. I'm not claiming it's a particularly good time either. The truth is more boring: the state of the economy doesn't matter much either way.

If we've learned one thing from funding so many startups, it's that they succeed or fail based on the qualities of the founders. The economy has some effect, certainly, but as a predictor of success it's rounding error compared to the founders.

Which means that what matters is who you are, not when you do it. If you're the right sort of person, you'll win even in a bad economy. And if you're not, a good economy won't save you. Someone who thinks "I better not start a startup now, because the economy is so bad" is making the same mistake as the people who thought during the Bubble "all I have to do is start a startup, and I'll be rich."

So if you want to improve your chances, you should think far more about who you can recruit as a cofounder than the state of the economy. And if you're worried about threats to the survival of your company, don't look for them in the news. Look in the mirror.

Saw V's director who started as a production designer. I don't really care for the franchise but just thought it was a small, interesting piece.

Last Red Bull air race of the season is coming up. You will be able to watch it live online.

Recovering from touring Heiner Brau Brewery and Abita Brewery. Heiner Brau was a cool place and very laid back. Abita had a lot of free beer, but rude employees and felt very impersonal.

"We spend all day getting sober
Just hiding from daylight
Watching TV
We just look a lot better in the blue light"

- Counting Crows "Hanginaround"

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